Review & Prospect

First of all, we would like to say Happy New Year! Happy New Century! Happy New Millennium! and give our best wishes to everybody, and give our highest regard to Journal < Science & Utopya > , Yahoo and Xoom Internets, TV ABC, Amman TV, Gia News, The USGS, Calthch, Ohio and Utah Universities in the USA, and Dundee, Ucl, and Nottingham Universities in UK. In 1999, we predicted 10 earthquakes, 70 % of which were correct. One mistake was for a new geothermal experiment. The other two were because of wrong locations. However, all of the predictions had low probabilities, which revealed that earthquake clouds is a reliable precursor again. Earthquake Clouds Theory was getting more and more popular. It was showed on Yahoo Full Coverage on June16,1999, on TV ABC in America on June 25, 1999, in Turkish Journal < Science & Utopya > 64 in October and 65 in November 1999, on Amman TV in Jordan on October 23, 1999, and in Gia News in Taiwan on November 4 and 16, 1999. A lot of people from all over the world, including 91 countries or units, visited our web page. It got over 27,000 hits. The majority of visitors were from USA Commercial, Network/ISP, USA Educational, Turkey, Japan, Greece, Singapore, United Kingdom, Canada, United States, USA Government, Australia, Non-Profit Organizations, Taiwan, Mexico, and so on. Many people wrote us e-mail messages or comments to express their belief in our theory, and willingness to help our work. They also gave us the best wishes and encouraged us to work well. Here were two recent examples. Example 1 Andrei Ol'khovatov * on Dec. 11, 1999. "Dear Mr. Zhonghao Shou, This e-mail is from Russian geophysicist, who is interested in earthquake -related phenomena. I read your www-site and think it is great!..." Example 2 Mohammad Raeesi on Dec. 9, 1999 "Really it is very nice for me as a seismologist in Iran. We received an official letter about the prediction of an earthquake in the boundary region of Iran and Turkaminestan. and as you know this quake occurred and really I have been fascinated to your works. I would be glad and thankful if you add my name to your report list. Also I would be glad to have cooperation with you." A lot of people offered us many useful data, web sites, and information. They also propagated our work. Some people are trying to predict earthquakes with the clouds. We thank all of you for your belief in, enthusiasm for and help for our work, give all of you our best wishes, and express that we will continue studying on the subject, and working for all of you. Two facts that earthquake clouds can not be explained by meteorology theory, and our predictions have a high accuracy and low probabilities make us believe that the 20 centenary puzzle can be solved. Shou's article "Earthquake Clouds, a reliable precursor" combines the both facts and many other important earthquake phenomena, and replies the puzzle in theory On the other hand, there is a difficulty between the theory and application for an evacuation. The main problem is how to trace back the holes where earthquake vapors erupt from or the epicenters will be. But, we believe that it can be solved by modern technology, for example to set up a high precision infrared instrument into a synchronous satellite to peer at a place. Since earthquake vapors have high temperature, the difference between the holes and their neighborhoods will be able to detect while the vapors are erupting. Therefore, the main problem is not without method, but without money. To solve the problem, we need help from the society. We may write a report to the USA government for getting budget, but it is very hard. If you have a good idea, we would like to listen. If you can even persuade your government to offer us the data we need, explained in essay "Suggestion To Istanbul People", we would like to work for your country at first. Prospecting the new centenary, we hold a positive view, i.e. earthquake prediction will thrive in the new century. Panic, horror, and disaster due to earthquakes will finally become history. We hope that you and we will unite to achieve our common dream: the days people will not worry about a big earthquake anymore.

References

* Andrei has an interesting web page for a famous puzzle, the 1908 Tunguska event. In his page, he shows a lot of important earthquake phenomena. The site is: www.geocities.com/CapeCanaveral/Cockpit/3240

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