EARTHQUAKE CLOUDS AND
SHORT TERM PREDICTION

Andrei Ol'khovatov, A Great Russian Geophysicist

- 5/24/2001 -

Andrei Ol'khovatov is a great Russian geophysicist. He lives in Moscow, far away from California, but he knows our work, and encouraged it [1] even much better than some American scientists. Recently, he told us that he had read < A temblor from ancient Indian treasure trove? > of the Times of India Service [2], and he believed in that our work would "slowly, but surely" win finally.

Dr. Ol'khovatov has done a lot of great works, one of which is about "The 1908 Tunguska Event", a historic puzzle. Shou knew this puzzle from the People Daily in the early 1960s. After a sudden fireball with an enormous sound, a vast area of forest in Tunguska, Siberia fell down in 1908. Scientists explained it as a meteoric impact, but they did not find a piece of meteoric remnants. Thus, the event becomes a puzzle.

However, the People Daily announced that Chinese scientists first solved this puzzle. They explained it as an impact of a comet with a unique or exclusive orbit opposite those of all other members of the Sun System. Because a comet only consists of ice, no its remnant became understandable. Due to its opposite velocity to the Earth, its impact could own enough energy to compensate the shortage of its mass.

The interpretation seemed perfect, but Shou found a problem immediately. As a scientific solution, it should prove whether or not such an odd orbit could exist; otherwise their solution might become a fiction.

In 1999, Andrei told Shou about his fascinating explanation [3]. He also wrote Shou about < Meteorite over Jordan? > and his comment [4]. Now, let Dr. Ol'khovatov himself introduce his attractive work to our readers. We hope that his study helps our readers to get more knowledge about our mother: the Earth.



Dr. Ol'khovatov Introduce His Attractive Work To Us

Dear Zhonghao, and Readers,

Our Earth has a lot of mysteries. One of them is the 1908 Tunguska event in Siberia, known as the Tunguska meteorite fall. However, no any space-body remnants were discovered. Moreover, later investigations revealed many unexplained properties of the event, for example, it was impossible to calculate trajectory of the fireball because the accounts from hundreds eyewitnesses in vast areas of Siberia were against such a hypothesis.

The large forest-fall caused by the event had many unusual features. While reading those features and popular books about earthquakes in the late1980s, I found that the Tunguska event very resembled the descriptions of those earthquakes. Thus, it was possible that the Tunguska event was a tectonic manifestation.

I began to "dig" in this idea. The more I dug, the more evidence I found for the idea. Finally, I published an article "The 1908 Tunguska phenomenon: a probable role of tectonic processes" in Izvestiya Akademii Nauk SSSR Fizika Zemli (Proc. Soviet Academy of Sciences, Physics of the Earth) in 1991.

A decade has elapsed. Much more data have appeared to support that the Tunguska event was a terrestrial event, or a manifestation of tectonic processes in favorable meteorological conditions. It seems to tell us that a such coupling of tectonic and atmospheric processes is a key for us to understand the Tunguska and many other earthquake phenomena.

There are many events similar to the Tunguska, but they often occur on much lesser scales. Being unexplained, they are used to be ignored and quickly forgotten unfortunately.

The enormous power of the Tunguska was apparently caused by a rare geophysical situation. You can read more about it from my homepage:

http://www.geocities.com/olkhov

Sincerely,

Andrei Ol'khovatov



References & Images
  1. Essay: Review & Prospect January, 1 (2000)
  2. http://www.timesofindia.com/today/28home6.htm
  3. http://www.geocities.com/olkhov
  4. http://www.jas.org.jo/mett.html


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