California Earthquake Situation Analysis (Rewrite)

Many people asked me whether or not the places they lived in would be safe for earthquakes. Therefore, I write this essay to point out which places are relatively safe or dangerous. I hope that people living in the relatively dangerous areas will not feel panic, but pay more attention to any impending danger. A satellite image at 9:00, night, of July 26, 1999 [1] showed that there was a black triangle ABC in a white cloud. Under the black triangle was a geothermal region, covering a part of Southern California, Western Nevada, and Northern Mexico. Is it a high coincidence? Furthermore, it looks just like the black hole of the 6.1 Afghanistan earthquake cloud on our cover page [2] . Is it another high coincidence? A meteorologist from UCLA, whose field was special clouds, told me that meteorology could explain neither how the hole of the 6.1 Afghanistan earthquake cloud formed, nor how the small white line-shaped cloud or the 6.1 earthquake cloud formed in the hole. While my earthquake prediction model can. According to my model, there is a hot region around a big impending hypocenter, from which geothermal energy conducts upwards, and sometimes can reach to the surface before an earthquake occurs. As the thermal energy reaches to the surface, it heats up the air. The warmed air rises upwards, and when it reaches to a weather cloud, a hole forms. The black hole is a clue, implying an impending hypocenter there. This view was supported by my successful Afghanistan earthquake prediction on January 5, 1998. A difference between this black triangle and that black hole is that this triangle does not have a line-shaped cloud inside. Therefore, an earthquake may not come within 49 days. On July 21, 26, 27, and 28, many earthquake clouds appeared. I photographed them, but not at their initial times. Moreover, winds confused me about where those clouds came from. The 5.6 California-Nevada earthquake on August 1 was related to the earthquake clouds on July 21 which many people had probably seen. But where other clouds came from is still a puzzle, and we need pay more attention to them. Although the 5.6 California-Nevada border earthquake released a part of thermal energy, the problem has not disappeared. On the evening of August 3, TV 7 reported temperature of 109 degree at Palm Spring as the highest in Southern California, and the weather reporter said that he could not understand why that place was so hot. On August 4, he reported 104, the highest temperature, at Palm Spring, 90 at its northwest, 94 at its west, 84 at its southwest, and lower than 80 at other places (except both the east and southeast because of no data). This temperature distribution is harmonious with the color-relief (the darker a place, the higher its temperature) of recent satellite images [3]. Earthquakes (>=4) in 1999 are active in three regions. One is the black triangle, containing Palm Springs, Landers, Imperial Valley, Volcano Lake (Mexico), and so on. Another is the border between California and Nevada (Latitude > 35 N, longitude < 119 W). The other is off coast of Northern California. This distribution is also compatible with the color-relief map of satellite images [1] , [3]. According to the color- relief and earthquake data, I think that Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego, Parkfield, and Northridge will be safe this year. The coastal region is less active than the others are. The black triangle indicates a dangerous place. Since I lack research resources, and satellite images are not detailed enough for earthquake prediction, I may loss some earthquake clouds, or be unable to determine where they came from. To help people against big earthquakes, I suggest remembering a few photographs of important earthquake clouds [4], [5], [6], [7], [8], [9], [10] in our homepage. You can check a cloud with those photographs. If you are rich enough, you can set up an automatic video camera to scan the sky. This will be more helpful. I also suggest caring of other phenomena, such as eruptions of gas, water, or oil, sulfurous odor, earth noise, sudden gaps, and earth fire called "earth light". Recently, geophysicists at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) issued a warning that "L.A.'s Big Squeeze likely site of next major quake". They predicted that "the heart of the city will be struck" [11]. That is a good attempt. I respect the attempt of scientists of JPL, but do not think that the next big earthquake will attack the city of Los Angeles. According to my analysis, the next big one will be in either the black triangle, or the California-Nevada border. Finally, I would like to thank many readers for their believing in my work, offering me a web site for surface wind distribution, and giving me their best wishes.

References

Image 19990726 9:00 Image 19980101 7:32 Image 19990810 9:00 The 6.7 Northridge EQ Cloud on 1/8/1994 The 7.0 N California EQ Cloud on 8/31/1994 The 6.3 Oregon EQ Cloud on 10/18/1994 The 7.8 Japan EQ Cloud on 11/15/1994 The 5.3 Northridge EQ Cloud on 2/13/1994 The 4.3 Joshua Tree EQ Cloud on 7/221996 The 4.9 Borrego Springs EQ Cloud on 7/16/1997 *Martin Kasindorf. L.A.'s Big Squeeze likely site of next major quake. USA TODAY. 8/3 3A (1999). "California Earthquake Situation Analysis" on August 10, 1999 (Origin A990810 )

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