EARTHQUAKE CLOUDS AND
SHORT TERM PREDICTION

The 8.3 & 7.4 Japan Earthquake Cloud

- September 28, 2003 -

On Aug. 20, 2003, I found a strong, strange, unprecedented cloud over Northern Japan from a satellite image [1]. It was strange because it emerged suddenly, and moved from Hokkaido (about 40N, 140E) to south against normal currents from southwest to northeast. It was strange because it looked like a big rope, consisting of many small strings. If it had indicated one earthquake, the magnitude would have been M9, which was unprecedented, and might be wrong. Lacking necessary data [2], I made a question mark on the image, and had to wait until the time, 102 days, over.

On Sep. 25, a M8.3 [3] and a M7.4 earthquakes happened. Moreover, There were 7 other earthquakes of magnitude more than or equal to 5 there during the two days after the quake. Their vapors together reach to vapor of a M9 earthquake. Thus, the puzzle is clear.

The Japanese government has been offering about $100 million budget a year for earthquake prediction since 1962, but Japanese scientists have not predicted an earthquake successfully, yet [4]. By contrast, I predicted some earthquakes for Japan. Two examples reported to the USGS are in "Two Examples for Japan, Predicted to the USGS".

I also made many other predictions to the Public for Japan. For instance, I predicted the M7 Japan earthquake on May 26 to the Public on May 11, 2003, and it was the best result for the earthquake [5]. Japanese scientists can try to find if they can similate a prediction as good as mine.

Now, Japanese scientists begin to investigate into if there was a precursor. What they are doing is as what they did before. If they work really for science and people, I suggest trying to explain how the cloud could rush to south against the normal current, and why the earthquakes occurred in the area where the cloud had emerged coincidentally. I also suggest reading my theory "Earthquake Clouds, a reliable precursor" [6]. Although wasting $100 million budget a year for Japan is like a hair falling from a large camel, a little of which may make my work save many people from fatal earthquakes. Therefore, I hope Japanese government and scientists to consider my suggestions: Share a little budget for my work to overcome satellite data problems [2]



Two Examples for Japan, Predicted to the USGS

Prediction

Earthquake Prediction

Actual Earthquake

Prob.
%

#

Date

Time

Location

Magnitude

Time

Location

Magnitude

49

6/29/00

6/29~7/10

34~35.2N, 139.1~139.7E, Japan

>=6

7/1 7:01

V

34.32,139.04, Japan

V

6.1

V

1.4

50

7/5/00

7/5~8/5

<34N, <142.5E, Japan or the East Chinese Sea

>=6

7/30 12:25

V

33.96,139.28, Japan

V

6.4

V

2.6



References

  1. Images20030820 3:00 The 8.3 & 7.4 Japan EQ Cloud
  2. Essay: A020804 Satellite Data Problems
  3. Map 20030925.1The 8.3 Japan earthquake
  4. Wakita, H. Geochemical challenge to earthquake prediction. Proc, Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 93, 3781-3786 (1996)
  5. Essay: A030915 My Prediction is the Best Result of the 7.0 Japan Earthquake
  6. Article: Earthquake Clouds, a reliable precursor, Science & Utopya 64, 53~57 (1999)


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