- September 26, 2004 -
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On Sept. 22, 2004, I predicted an earthquake of magnitude more than or equal to 5 in Mexico by "E" near an earthquake cloud [1] to the Public. On Sept. 24, an earthquake of magnitude 5.9 happened at 28.56N 112.71W, all exact [2]. It is my 5th successful prediction to the Public by a fine area window for an earthquake of magnitude more than or equal to 5.5 in Sept. 2004. The others are for the 5.7 Japan earthquake on Sept. 1 [3], the 6.2 Tonga 3 [4], the 6.9 Sandwich 6 [5], and the 5.5 California 18 [6]. On the other hand, many American seismologists were busy to warn people to drive carefully by K-B's 8-month prediction in "Mojave Desert and an area south of it", Southern California before Sept. 6. Due to their action, I received some questions, and I replied, "Is the prediction made by K-B's team of UCLA? If so, 90% wrong" on Aug. 31, 2004. Being sure on Sept. 3, I proposed an essay to disprove K-B's prediction on Sept. 4 [7] , and it is correct, too. In fact, I told the USGS about serious problems of K-B's method in Jan. 2004. The above facts demonstrate that the real authority to judge a work is neither the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, publishing K-B's work, nor those so called "experts", abusing comment on my work, but practice. Still, I am patient of waiting for an international cooperation, especially for the American seismologists because they are smart, and own resource and funds to do what they want to do. They have about 100, 000. If 100 of them predicted one big earthquake a year, all large earthquakes, about 160 a year in the world, would be able to be predicted, and people would get a big benefit. |
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