Neither the Moon, nor the Planets

Can Predict Earthquakes

- May 18, 2005 -

Although my essay "Disprove A Rumor" has been in our web site since Apr. 20, 2000 [1], some scientists and some people are still addicted to the Moon, and the Planets as precursors. For example, a Chinese scientist and a producer of the Indian Miditech each asked me if a prediction, made by a doctor of an Indian Univ. with the Planets alignment, would be correct or not. The prediction was an earthquake of magnitude 6~6.7 in a circle around 30.516o N and 79.519o E with a radius of 30 km between May 3~5, 2005. I replied the both that the method was wrong, and his prediction would fail. Now, let me explain my points better. First, 19 years just have 233 lunar months, and 6939.6 days (=365.2422x19), so the average lunar month has 29.78 (=6939.6/233) days. Let's divide it into two groups: one has a new moon, a full moon, and 3 days before and after the new moon or the full moon together 14 days, and the other has the remainder, 15.78 days in average. Therefore, the former contains 47.01% (=14/29.78) of the average lunar month. Then, I divided all large earthquakes in California from 1769 to 2000, together 172, into the same two groups. If the Moon triggered earthquakes, the former ratio would be much bigger than 47.01%. However, the result is 80 or 46.51% (=80/172). In 1994, I also did the same work to all large earthquakes in the World in 1992 and 1993, and the result was the same. Thus, the Moon does not trigger earthquakes. The Moon has mass about 1x1024 kg, and a distance about 3.82x108 m to the Earth. The Mars has a distance about 7.86x1010 m to the Earth. Let's suppose all planets to combine with the Mars, the nearest planet to the Earth, so their forces together to the Earth would become much stronger than those in a line. The sum of their masses except the Earth is about 2.6624x1027 kg. The ratio between the force of the combined planets from the Mars to the Earth and the force of the Moon to the Earth is 0.063 (= 2.6624x1027x(3.82x108)2 / [(1x1024)x(7.86x1010)2]. ) Because the Moon can not trigger earthquakes, of course its 0.063 force i.e. the combined planets in the Mars can not. Thus, it is unnecessary to say that the Planets alignment can not. Second, I asked the Chinese scientist and the Indian producer a key question of what evidence the Indian doctor had to narrow the location by aligned planets, but the doctor had no response. On May 7, 2005, I checked the data, and found neither an earthquake of magnitude 6~6.7 in the East Hemisphere (90S~90N, and 0~180E), nor an earthquake of magnitude 4 or above in the area of 20.5~40.5N, and 69.5~89.5E during his predicted time of May 3~5, 2005. I hope this explanation to be clear, and hope scientists and people not to be confused by useless methods, friends of devastating earthquakes.

Planet	Mercury	Venus	Earth	Mars	Jupiter	Saturn	Uranus	Neptune	Pluto
Mass(kg)	3.302*1023	4.868*1024	5.974*1024	6.418*1023	1.899*1027	5.685*1026	8.683*1025	1.024*1026	1.32*1022

	Sun	Moon
Mass(kg)	1.989*1030	1*1024

References

Disprove A Rumor

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Updated: May 18, 2005 | Webmaster