EARTHQUAKE CLOUDS AND
SHORT TERM PREDICTION

ABC TV Interview (Channel 7)

- June 25, 1999 -

On June 25, 1999, Miriam Hernandez, a main reporter of KABC TV interviewed us for the title A Southern California man predicted last week's Mexico earthquake. At 5:30 TV Channel 7 showed that Zhonghao Shou was looking for earthquake clouds from satellite images on his computer, then it showed the Mexico earthquake prediction [1] having a signature from the U. S. Geological Survey on May 17, 1999, and the earthquake cloud [2] in Image 19990516 17:00 as the precursor. The news repeated at 11:00 p.m.

Afterward, Dr. Lucy Jones of the U. S. Geological Survey (USGS), Pasadena Office appeared. She alleged that vapors of earthquake clouds forming underground was "impossible" with no evidence. I remember the same opinion from another doctor of the USGS, who proposed the Northridge earthquake as a counter of my theory because it had happened where "no" any earthquake had occurred before. Therefore, there was "no crevice" due to foreshocks to let water penetrate. Immediately, I showed him a table of 78 small shocks having happened before and around the Northridge hypocenter within 10 km, and told him those data from the USGS. He nodded, then complained his colleagues for giving him wrong information. Although the counter is wrong, it is better than nothing of Jones.

Moreover, Dr. Thomas Gold of Cornell Univ. had already disproved Jones's opinion. He proposed an excellent disproof [3]. On one hand, nature diamonds, carbon crystals, must form in deep underground. On the other hand, they can be found on the surface. Therefore, there must be paths for nature diamonds to move from deep underground to the surface, and also for water to penetrate contrarily.

Furthermore Dr. Geller et. al. proved that small earthquakes occur as deep as any large earthquakes before [4]. Therefore, it is not difficult to understand that those earthquakes produce crevices to let water penetrate.

In addition, there are plentiful references. For example, "The wells extract a mixture of steam and water with temperatures in the 250 oC to 350 oC range (...) from depths between 1,500 and 3,000 m." before three big earthquakes ( The 6.6 Imperial Valley earthquake on October 15, 1979, The 6.1 Victoria earthquake on June 9, 1980, and The 5.4 Cerro Prieto earthquake on February 7, 1987 [5]. Another example is "Before medium and strong earthquakes, due to local force effect, a lot of gas emitted, which has already been evidenced by many monitored results. Relying on diffusion and penetration, an abnormality of gas takes time rising up from underground to surface" [6].

Besides the above disproof, we would like to asked Jones if she can reply our two "Yes or No" questions: (1) Can she explain what this cloud [7] on the cover of this site is? A meteorologist from UCLA, whose field was special clouds, admitted that it is not a weather cloud. (2) Can she predict earthquakes as good as ours?

Jones also alleged that Shou predicted "hundreds" of earthquakes to them, and only "two" were showed. In fact, Shou has predicted only 38 earthquakes to the USGS so far and all are showed on our website.

Finally, we would like to thank ABC TV again for their report.

References

  1. the 6.7 Mexico earthquake prediction on May 17, 1999
  2. Image 19990516 17:00
  3. http://www.people.cornell.edu/pages/tg21/ Dr. Thomas Gold's page
  4. Geller, R.J., Jackson, D.D., Kagan, Y.Y. & Mulargia, F. Earthquakes cannot be predicted. Science 275, 1616-1617 (1997).
  5. Glowacka, E. & Nava, F. A. Major earthquakes in Mexicali Valley, Mexico, and fluid extraction at Cerro Prieto geothermal field. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 86, No.1A , 93-105 (1996).
  6. Giang Zu-Ji et cl. An experimental study of temperature increasing mechanism of satellitic thermo-infrared. Acta Seismologica Sinica 19, No. 2, 197-201 (1997).
  7. The 6.1 Afghanistan Earthquake Cloud


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